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Chwiliwch drwy ein llyfrgell o erthyglau, adroddiadau ar nwyddau, e-lyfrau a fideos am gyngor ar sut i sicrhau bod eich haid yn perfformio ar ei orau drwy gydol y flwyddyn.
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Paris wheat futures started the week on a 6 month high; The UK market is still stuck between the bumper crop of 2019 and a potentially smaller 2020 harvest; With reduced pressure on the US markets and the Black Sea now expecting a more buoyant crop in 2020; Currency has remained relatively stable; Expectation that the Phase 1 China/US trade deal will be signed this month;
Currency has firmed in anticipation of a Tory victory in the election this coming week; Better weather in France, has allowed their soft wheat planting to be reported to have improved to 83%; BAGE reported positive progress in the Argentine planting progress; China announced that it will drop tariffs on US soya beans and pork imports; A WW1 German battleship has been discovered off the coast of the Falkland Islands;
Currency has remained remarkedly stable since the Brexit deadline was postponed again; The price of UK wheat remained firm this week; New crop planting is still only 50% complete; French wheat plantings have made little further progress, mirroring the UK; The Russian Agriculture ministry downgraded the 2019 crop to 75 Mln T; The US announced that it would remove harsh import tariffs against many Chinese imports.
Sterling has remained relatively stable; Wheat prices in the UK remain firm; Last week saw a few drier days; Agriculture and farming are taking huge leaps forward using technology to improve the way we work; Uncertainty in the US/China trade deal has again sent the Chinese buyers looking to buy soya beans from Brazil.
The UK market remains focused on new crop drilling concerns that next year there will be a smaller crop; As a result prices have firmed and finished the week at £152/T on the May 19 contract; The weather concerns also continue in the EU; The political focus remains on the Election; The Black sea is experiencing its own weather concerns with temperatures expected to drop sharply.
The USDA report out this week could have caused some market excitement but was little changed from the previous report; The UK crop is still behind on planting as the wet weather is giving little chance to catch up; Unfortunately for the UK the unknowns of our politics/currency and Brexit are currently enough to mean we are not seeing much benefit from this.
Quiet week in commodities; Reflective moment following Bexit extension; Poor weather is having effect on drilling; Potential poor yields firms up new crop contract; France and Germany reporting delays in planting; Ukraine exports rise; Weather globally affecting wheat crops, but also assisting soya development in some areas; Lack of trust in China / US trade deal, and Return of Peronist regime in Argentina concerning farmers. 100 drawing in 100 days…
Lots of variation in wheat pricing; Wheat markets quiet with Independence Day; Overall positive new crop outlook across EU; UK barley crop harvest indicating positive yields; Spanish and Russian barley crop also looking positive; China demand driving Argentina soya prices; EU rape production significantly lower; When are a narwhal and a beluga not quite what they seem. When they are a belwhal. 50:50 DNA mix of the two. Find out more.
Recent DEFRA data indicates that the 2017 crop was about 350,000t lower than previous estimates. Will we again be a net importer in 2018/19? As Russian wheat exports have grown over the past decade, the importance of US wheat exports has declined. Going the extra mile, and finishing by a country mile - how far do you travel?
UK May wheat futures continue to trade within the same tight channel of the last four weeks and lacking any significant change in local or global supply and demand it continues to do so. It seems that the inclusion or exclusion of a comma might be very expensive as a US court case has recently highlighted. Another win for the lawyers maybe?!
The lack of price action recently has been so dull, that the grain trade are acting like door-to-door salesmen in their efforts to try to create a market. They say anything is possible in the USA... A microwaved egg has been the subject of an American lawsuit where a customer bit into an egg resulting in burns and hearing loss due to the massive ‘pop’.
Last Friday, UK May wheat futures closed down £0.60 at £145.65, the same day that Vivergo announced that they were to bring forward and extend their `annual maintenance’ due to low biofuel prices and low profit margins. They also took a swipe at ‘government inaction’ regarding its failure to legislate for E10 (10% bioethanol and 90% petrol).
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